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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory | Prediction Markets

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

Open·1 month

Politics Elections

24h volume

$298

Markets

Liquidity

$103.7K

Resolution

Ends in 1 month

Politics Elections

PrimariesPaxtonTexas SenateCornynUS Electionrewards 100, 4.5, 100

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

YES 28%

72% NO

28.1%$83

#2Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

YES 13%

87% NO

13.0%$200

#3Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

YES 13%

87% NO

13.0%-

#4Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

YES 13%

87% NO

12.8%$15

Paxton 6–9%

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Open

YES 13%

87% NO

1 month

24h Vol$200

Paxton 9%+

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Open

YES 28%

72% NO

1 month

24h Vol$83

Cornyn <3%

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Open

YES 13%

87% NO

1 month

24h Vol$15

Cornyn 6–9%

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

1 month

24h Vol-

Paxton 3–6%

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

1 month

24h Vol-

Paxton <3%

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

1 month

24h Vol-

Cornyn 3–6%

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

1 month

24h Vol-

Cornyn 9%+

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Open

YES 13%

87% NO

1 month

24h Vol-

Other

Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?

Closed

—

1 month

24h Vol$0


Paxton 6–9% Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	1 month	$200	YES 13% 87% NO
Paxton 9%+ Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	1 month	$83	YES 28% 72% NO
Cornyn <3% Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	1 month	$15	YES 13% 87% NO
Cornyn 6–9% Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	1 month	-	YES 3% 97% NO
Paxton 3–6% Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	1 month	-	YES 10% 90% NO
Paxton <3% Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?	1 month	-	YES 9% 91% NO
Cornyn 3–6% Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	1 month	-	YES 6% 94% NO
Cornyn 9%+ Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	1 month	-	YES 13% 87% NO
Other Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?	1 month	$0	—

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Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Markets 10Vol $2.3K13 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status