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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory | Prediction Markets

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Ken Paxton, 20%+: If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 20% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·13 months

Elections

24h volume

$2.3K

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 13 months

Elections

PrimariesUS Elections

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — Ken Paxton, 5-10%

YES 16%

84% NO

15.5%$49

#2Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%? — John Cornyn, 0-5%

YES 26%

74% NO

26.0%$985

#3Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%? — Ken Paxton, 20%+

YES 11%

89% NO

10.5%$27

John Cornyn, 0-5%

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%? — John Cornyn, 0-5%

Open

YES 26%

74% NO

13 months

24h Vol$985

John Cornyn, 5-10%

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — John Cornyn, 5-10%

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

13 months

24h Vol$521

John Cornyn, 10-15%

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? — John Cornyn, 10-15%

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

13 months

24h Vol$501

Ken Paxton, 0-5%

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%? — Ken Paxton, 0-5%

Open

YES 37%

63% NO

13 months

24h Vol$133

Ken Paxton, 5-10%

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — Ken Paxton, 5-10%

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

13 months

24h Vol$49

Ken Paxton, 10-15%

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? — Ken Paxton, 10-15%

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

13 months

24h Vol$29

Ken Paxton, 20%+

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%? — Ken Paxton, 20%+

Open

YES 11%

89% NO

13 months

24h Vol$27

Ken Paxton, 15-20%

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%? — Ken Paxton, 15-20%

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

13 months

24h Vol$22

John Cornyn, 20%+

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%? — John Cornyn, 20%+

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

13 months

24h Vol$22

John Cornyn, 15-20%

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%? — John Cornyn, 15-20%

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

13 months

24h Vol$22


John Cornyn, 0-5% Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%? — John Cornyn, 0-5%	13 months	$985	YES 26% 74% NO
John Cornyn, 5-10% Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — John Cornyn, 5-10%	13 months	$521	YES 3% 97% NO
John Cornyn, 10-15% Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? — John Cornyn, 10-15%	13 months	$501	YES 2% 98% NO
Ken Paxton, 0-5% Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%? — Ken Paxton, 0-5%	13 months	$133	YES 37% 63% NO
Ken Paxton, 5-10% Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%? — Ken Paxton, 5-10%	13 months	$49	YES 16% 84% NO
Ken Paxton, 10-15% Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%? — Ken Paxton, 10-15%	13 months	$29	YES 10% 90% NO
Ken Paxton, 20%+ Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%? — Ken Paxton, 20%+	13 months	$27	YES 11% 89% NO
Ken Paxton, 15-20% Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%? — Ken Paxton, 15-20%	13 months	$22	YES 6% 94% NO
John Cornyn, 20%+ Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%? — John Cornyn, 20%+	13 months	$22	YES 1% 99% NO
John Cornyn, 15-20% Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%? — John Cornyn, 15-20%	13 months	$22	YES 1% 99% NO

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Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Markets 9Vol $3131 month

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status