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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary? | Prediction Markets

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Ed Gallrein, ≥20%: If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·13 months

Elections

24h volume

$1.4K

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 13 months

Elections

Primaries

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Thomas Massie, 0-5%

YES 29%

71% NO

29.0%$378

#2Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%? — Thomas Massie, 5-10%

YES 17%

83% NO

16.5%$120

#3Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Ed Gallrein, 0-5%

YES 16%

84% NO

15.5%$138

Thomas Massie, 0-5%

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Thomas Massie, 0-5%

Open

YES 29%

71% NO

13 months

24h Vol$378

Ed Gallrein, 15-20%

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%? — Ed Gallrein, 15-20%

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

13 months

24h Vol$223

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? — Ed Gallrein, 10-15%

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

13 months

24h Vol$215

Ed Gallrein, 0-5%

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Ed Gallrein, 0-5%

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

13 months

24h Vol$138

Ed Gallrein, ≥20%

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%? — Ed Gallrein, ≥20%

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

13 months

24h Vol$128

Thomas Massie, 5-10%

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%? — Thomas Massie, 5-10%

Open

YES 17%

83% NO

13 months

24h Vol$120

Thomas Massie, ≥20%

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%? — Thomas Massie, ≥20%

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

13 months

24h Vol$94

Ed Gallrein, 5-10%

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%? — Ed Gallrein, 5-10%

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

13 months

24h Vol$87

Thomas Massie, 10-15%

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? — Thomas Massie, 10-15%

Open

YES 20%

80% NO

13 months

24h Vol$0

Thomas Massie, 15-20%

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%? — Thomas Massie, 15-20%

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

13 months

24h Vol$0


Thomas Massie, 0-5% Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Thomas Massie, 0-5%	13 months	$378	YES 29% 71% NO
Ed Gallrein, 15-20% Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%? — Ed Gallrein, 15-20%	13 months	$223	YES 3% 97% NO
Ed Gallrein, 10-15% Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? — Ed Gallrein, 10-15%	13 months	$215	YES 4% 96% NO
Ed Gallrein, 0-5% Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%? — Ed Gallrein, 0-5%	13 months	$138	YES 16% 84% NO
Ed Gallrein, ≥20% Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%? — Ed Gallrein, ≥20%	13 months	$128	YES 3% 97% NO
Thomas Massie, 5-10% Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%? — Thomas Massie, 5-10%	13 months	$120	YES 17% 83% NO
Thomas Massie, ≥20% Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%? — Thomas Massie, ≥20%	13 months	$94	YES 6% 94% NO
Ed Gallrein, 5-10% Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%? — Ed Gallrein, 5-10%	13 months	$87	YES 7% 93% NO
Thomas Massie, 10-15% Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%? — Thomas Massie, 10-15%	13 months	$0	YES 20% 80% NO
Thomas Massie, 15-20% Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%? — Thomas Massie, 15-20%	13 months	$0	YES 8% 92% NO

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KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Markets 20Vol $17.2K1 month

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status