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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary? | Prediction Markets

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.

Open·121 months

Politics Elections

24h volume

$107

Markets

Liquidity

$4.4K

Resolution

Ends in 121 months

Politics Elections

US ElectionTrumpCongressPrimaries

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 43%

57% NO

43.0%$8

#2Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 34%

66% NO

34.1%$7

#3Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 33%

67% NO

32.6%$12

#4Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 25%

75% NO

24.8%$59

10-12

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 25%

75% NO

121 months

24h Vol$59

13-15

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

121 months

24h Vol$21

4-6

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 33%

67% NO

121 months

24h Vol$12

<3

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 43%

57% NO

121 months

24h Vol$8

>15

Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 34%

66% NO

121 months

24h Vol$7

7-9

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 23%

77% NO

121 months

24h Vol-


10-12 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$59	YES 25% 75% NO
13-15 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$21	YES 3% 97% NO
4-6 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$12	YES 33% 67% NO
<3 Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$8	YES 43% 57% NO
>15 Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$7	YES 34% 66% NO
7-9 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 23% 77% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Markets 8Vol $1.4K6 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status