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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? | Prediction Markets

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

0: If the number of Republican Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·6 months

Elections

24h volume

$354

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 6 months

Elections

Primaries

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will at least 4 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 4 or more

YES 10%

90% NO

9.5%$203

#2Will exactly 2 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 2

YES 53%

47% NO

53.0%$40

#3Will exactly 3 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 3

YES 4%

96% NO

3.6%$110

4 or more

Will at least 4 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 4 or more

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

6 months

24h Vol$203

3

Will exactly 3 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 3

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

6 months

24h Vol$110

2

Will exactly 2 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 2

Open

YES 53%

47% NO

6 months

24h Vol$40

0

Will exactly 0 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 0

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

6 months

24h Vol$0

1

Will exactly 1 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 1

Open

YES 27%

73% NO

6 months

24h Vol$0


4 or more Will at least 4 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 4 or more	6 months	$203	YES 10% 90% NO
3 Will exactly 3 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 3	6 months	$110	YES 4% 96% NO
2 Will exactly 2 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 2	6 months	$40	YES 53% 47% NO
0 Will exactly 0 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 0	6 months	$0	YES 5% 95% NO
1 Will exactly 1 Senate Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 1	6 months	$0	YES 27% 73% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Markets 20Vol $51 month

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status