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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? | Prediction Markets

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.

Open·121 months

Politics Elections

24h volume

$21

Markets

Liquidity

$16.3K

Resolution

Ends in 121 months

Politics Elections

CongressPrimariesTrumpUS Election

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 50%

50% NO

49.5%-

#2Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?

YES 37%

63% NO

37.0%-

#3Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 17%

83% NO

16.5%-

#4Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 7%

93% NO

6.6%-

3

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

121 months

24h Vol$21

2

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 50%

50% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

0

Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 17%

83% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

1

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 37%

63% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

4

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

>4

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

121 months

24h Vol-


3 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	$21	YES 0% 100% NO
2 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 50% 50% NO
0 Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 17% 83% NO
1 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 37% 63% NO
4 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
>4 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 4% 96% NO

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How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Markets 5Vol $3376 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status