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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026? | Prediction Markets

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0: If exactly 0 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·8 months

Elections

24h volume

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Elections

US Elections

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will exactly 1 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 1

YES 22%

78% NO

21.5%$4

#2Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 0

YES 72%

28% NO

71.5%$0

#3Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 2

YES 5%

95% NO

4.5%$0

Exactly 1

Will exactly 1 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 1

Open

YES 22%

78% NO

8 months

24h Vol$4

Exactly 3

Will exactly 3 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 3

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

Exactly 0

Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 0

Open

YES 72%

28% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

Exactly 2

Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 2

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

Exactly 4

Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 4

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

5 or more

Will at least 5 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — 5 or more

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0


Exactly 1 Will exactly 1 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 1	8 months	$4	YES 22% 78% NO
Exactly 3 Will exactly 3 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 3	8 months	$0	YES 2% 98% NO
Exactly 0 Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 0	8 months	$0	YES 72% 28% NO
Exactly 2 Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 2	8 months	$0	YES 5% 95% NO
Exactly 4 Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — Exactly 4	8 months	$0	YES 2% 98% NO
5 or more Will at least 5 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026? — 5 or more	8 months	$0	YES 3% 97% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Markets 6Vol $14121 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status