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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? | Prediction Markets

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.

Open·121 months

Politics Elections

24h volume

$50

Markets

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$2.6K

Resolution

Ends in 121 months

Politics Elections

TrumpUS ElectionCongressPrimaries

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 73%

27% NO

73.1%-

#2Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 24%

76% NO

23.5%-

#3Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 23%

77% NO

22.5%-

#4Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

YES 4%

96% NO

3.7%-

10-12

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

<3

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 24%

76% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

7-9

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 23%

77% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

13-15

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

>15

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

121 months

24h Vol-

4-6

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Open

YES 73%

27% NO

121 months

24h Vol-


10-12 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 4% 96% NO
<3 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 24% 76% NO
7-9 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 23% 77% NO
13-15 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 4% 96% NO
>15 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 3% 97% NO
4-6 Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	121 months	-	YES 73% 27% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

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How many House Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

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Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status