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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? | Prediction Markets

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

Gavin Newsom: If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·31 months

Elections

24h volume

$54

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 31 months

Elections

US Elections

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Gavin Newsom

YES 21%

79% NO

21.0%$14

#2Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Kamala Harris

YES 18%

82% NO

17.5%$1

#3Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Andy Beshear

YES 11%

89% NO

11.1%$0

Pete Buttigieg

Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Pete Buttigieg

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

31 months

24h Vol$39

Gavin Newsom

Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Gavin Newsom

Open

YES 21%

79% NO

31 months

24h Vol$14

Kamala Harris

Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Kamala Harris

Open

YES 18%

82% NO

31 months

24h Vol$1

Jon Ossoff

Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Jon Ossoff

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

Andy Beshear

Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Andy Beshear

Open

YES 11%

89% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

Wes Moore

Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Wes Moore

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

Josh Shapiro

Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Josh Shapiro

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

Gretchen Whitmer

Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Gretchen Whitmer

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0

J.B. Pritzker

Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — J.B. Pritzker

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

31 months

24h Vol$0


Pete Buttigieg Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Pete Buttigieg	31 months	$39	YES 9% 91% NO
Gavin Newsom Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Gavin Newsom	31 months	$14	YES 21% 79% NO
Kamala Harris Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Kamala Harris	31 months	$1	YES 18% 82% NO
Jon Ossoff Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Jon Ossoff	31 months	$0	YES 6% 94% NO
Andy Beshear Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Andy Beshear	31 months	$0	YES 11% 89% NO
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	31 months	$0	YES 6% 94% NO
Wes Moore Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Wes Moore	31 months	$0	YES 5% 95% NO
Josh Shapiro Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Josh Shapiro	31 months	$0	YES 7% 93% NO
Gretchen Whitmer Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — Gretchen Whitmer	31 months	$0	YES 5% 95% NO
J.B. Pritzker Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028? — J.B. Pritzker	31 months	$0	YES 8% 92% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Markets 1Vol $3632 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status