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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | Prediction Markets

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Open·8 months

Science Weather World Social

24h volume

$31.5K

Markets

Liquidity

$172.3K

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Science Weather World Social

CultureGlobal TempClimate & ScienceWeather & Science

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

YES 53%

47% NO

53.0%$5.2K

#2Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

YES 32%

68% NO

32.0%$22.4K

#3Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

YES 7%

93% NO

6.8%$227

#4Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

YES 5%

95% NO

4.8%$501

1

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Open

YES 32%

68% NO

8 months

24h Vol$22.4K

2

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Open

YES 53%

47% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5.2K

5

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

8 months

24h Vol$3.2K

3

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

8 months

24h Vol$501

4

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

8 months

24h Vol$227

6 or lower

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

8 months

24h Vol$3


1 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	8 months	$22.4K	YES 32% 68% NO
2 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	8 months	$5.2K	YES 53% 47% NO
5 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	8 months	$3.2K	YES 1% 99% NO
3 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	8 months	$501	YES 5% 95% NO
4 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	8 months	$227	YES 7% 93% NO
6 or lower Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	8 months	$3	YES 2% 98% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Markets 1Vol $1908 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status