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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

IL-09 Democratic primary margin of victory? | Prediction Markets

IL-09 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Daniel Biss, 16%+: If the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary falls at least 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·11 months

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3 open markets · probability trend

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#1Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Daniel Biss, 0-4%

YES 95%

5% NO

95.0%$0

#2Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 4% and 8%? — Daniel Biss, 4-8%

YES 3%

97% NO

2.6%$0

#3Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4%

YES 0%

100% NO

0.4%$0

Daniel Biss, 8-12%

Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 8% and 12%? — Daniel Biss, 8-12%

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+

Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 8%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Daniel Biss, 12-16%

Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 12% and 16%? — Daniel Biss, 12-16%

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Daniel Biss, 16%+

Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 16%? — Daniel Biss, 16%+

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Daniel Biss, 4-8%

Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 4% and 8%? — Daniel Biss, 4-8%

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4%

Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4%

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8%

Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 4% and 8%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8%

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Laura Fine wins

Will the margin of victory for Laura Fine in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 0%? — Laura Fine wins

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0

Daniel Biss, 0-4%

Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Daniel Biss, 0-4%

Open

YES 95%

5% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0


Daniel Biss, 8-12% Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 8% and 12%? — Daniel Biss, 8-12%	11 months	$0	YES 1% 99% NO
Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+ Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 8%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 8%+	11 months	$0	YES 0% 100% NO
Daniel Biss, 12-16% Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 12% and 16%? — Daniel Biss, 12-16%	11 months	$0	YES 1% 99% NO
Daniel Biss, 16%+ Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 16%? — Daniel Biss, 16%+	11 months	$0	YES 0% 100% NO
Daniel Biss, 4-8% Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 4% and 8%? — Daniel Biss, 4-8%	11 months	$0	YES 3% 97% NO
Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4% Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 0-4%	11 months	$0	YES 0% 100% NO
Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8% Will the margin of victory for Kat Abughazaleh in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 4% and 8%? — Kat Abughazaleh, 4-8%	11 months	$0	YES 0% 100% NO
Laura Fine wins Will the margin of victory for Laura Fine in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be above 0%? — Laura Fine wins	11 months	$0	YES 0% 100% NO
Daniel Biss, 0-4% Will the margin of victory for Daniel Biss in the 2026 IL-09 Democratic primary be between 0% and 4%? — Daniel Biss, 0-4%	11 months	$0	YES 95% 5% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

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MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Markets 18Vol $63 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status