⌘K

Events

Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

Market radar

Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory | Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Open·6 months

Politics Elections

24h volume

Markets

Liquidity

$54.0K

Resolution

Ends in 6 months

Politics Elections

democratsMidtermsmovrepublicansCongresshouse of representatives

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?

YES 22%

78% NO

21.5%-

#2Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?

YES 19%

81% NO

18.9%-

#3Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?

YES 19%

81% NO

18.5%-

#4Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?

YES 16%

84% NO

16.0%-

Democrats 16%+

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Other

Will any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

Closed

YES 46%

54% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 8-10%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?

Open

YES 22%

78% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 14-16%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 12-14%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 0-2%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Republicans 2-4%

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Republicans 4-6%

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

Open

YES 12%

88% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Republicans 0-2%

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?

Open

YES 19%

81% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Republicans 6%+

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 2-4%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 6-8%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?

Open

YES 19%

81% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 10-12%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

6 months

24h Vol-

Democrats 4-6%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

Open

YES 15%

85% NO

6 months

24h Vol-


Democrats 16%+ Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	6 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Other Will any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	6 months	-	YES 46% 54% NO
Democrats 8-10% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	6 months	-	YES 22% 78% NO
Democrats 14-16% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	6 months	-	YES 8% 92% NO
Democrats 12-14% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	6 months	-	YES 2% 98% NO
Democrats 0-2% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?	6 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Republicans 2-4% Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?	6 months	-	YES 10% 90% NO
Republicans 4-6% Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?	6 months	-	YES 12% 88% NO
Republicans 0-2% Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?	6 months	-	YES 19% 81% NO
Republicans 6%+ Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?	6 months	-	YES 1% 99% NO
Democrats 2-4% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?	6 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Democrats 6-8% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	6 months	-	YES 19% 81% NO
Democrats 10-12% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?	6 months	-	YES 16% 84% NO
Democrats 4-6% Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?	6 months	-	YES 15% 85% NO

Rows per page

Page 1 of 1

Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Markets 10Vol $1018 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status