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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? | Prediction Markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Kash Patel: If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·8 months

Politics

24h volume

$18.0K

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Politics

Trump

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Defense

YES 53%

47% NO

52.5%$5.4K

#2Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027? — :: Director of the FBI

YES 57%

43% NO

57.5%$3.9K

#3Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027? — :: Director of National Intelligence

YES 55%

45% NO

54.5%$1.7K

:: Secretary of Defense

Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Defense

Open

YES 53%

47% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5.4K

:: Director of the FBI

Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027? — :: Director of the FBI

Open

YES 57%

43% NO

8 months

24h Vol$3.9K

:: White House Press Secretary

Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027? — :: White House Press Secretary

Open

YES 52%

48% NO

8 months

24h Vol$2.9K

:: Director of National Intelligence

Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027? — :: Director of National Intelligence

Open

YES 55%

45% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1.7K

:: Secretary of Commerce

Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Commerce

Open

YES 53%

47% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1.6K

:: Secretary of State

Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027? — :: Secretary of State

Open

YES 22%

78% NO

8 months

24h Vol$496

:: Chief of Staff

Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027? — :: Chief of Staff

Open

YES 38%

62% NO

8 months

24h Vol$315

:: HHS Secretary

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027? — :: HHS Secretary

Open

YES 30%

70% NO

8 months

24h Vol$260

:: Secretary of Transportation

Will Sean Duffy leaves Secretary of Transportation in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Transportation

Open

YES 26%

74% NO

8 months

24h Vol$250

:: Deputy Attorney General

Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027? — :: Deputy Attorney General

Open

YES 53%

47% NO

8 months

24h Vol$223

:: Deputy Chief of Staff

Will Stephen Miller leaves Deputy Chief of Staff in before 2027? — :: Deputy Chief of Staff

Open

YES 27%

73% NO

8 months

24h Vol$178

:: Secretary of Veterans Affairs

Will Doug Collins leaves Secretary of Veterans Affairs in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Veterans Affairs

Open

YES 18%

82% NO

8 months

24h Vol$166

:: Secretary of Labor

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leaves Secretary of Labor in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Labor

Open

YES 76%

24% NO

8 months

24h Vol$131

:: EPA Administrator

Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027? — :: EPA Administrator

Open

YES 45%

55% NO

8 months

24h Vol$108

:: CMS Administrator

Will Mehmet Oz leaves CMS Administrator in before 2027? — :: CMS Administrator

Open

YES 21%

79% NO

8 months

24h Vol$103

:: SBA Administrator

Will Kelly Loeffler leaves Administrator of the Small Business Administration in before 2027? — :: SBA Administrator

Open

YES 22%

78% NO

8 months

24h Vol$69

:: Secretary of the Treasury

Will Scott Bessent leaves Secretary of the Treasury in before 2027? — :: Secretary of the Treasury

Open

YES 18%

82% NO

8 months

24h Vol$53

:: Special Envoy to the Middle East

Will Steve Witkoff leaves Special Envoy to the Middle East in before 2027? — :: Special Envoy to the Middle East

Open

YES 38%

62% NO

8 months

24h Vol$50

:: OMB Director

Will Russell Vought leaves OMB Director in before 2027? — :: OMB Director

Open

YES 21%

79% NO

8 months

24h Vol$39

:: White House Border Czar

Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027? — :: White House Border Czar

Open

YES 19%

81% NO

8 months

24h Vol$28

:: Chairman of the FCC

Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027? — :: Chairman of the FCC

Open

YES 22%

78% NO

8 months

24h Vol$27

:: FHFA Director

Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027? — :: FHFA Director

Open

YES 31%

69% NO

8 months

24h Vol$27

:: Secretary of Agriculture

Will Brooke Rollins leaves Secretary of Agriculture in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Agriculture

Open

YES 21%

79% NO

8 months

24h Vol$24

:: Secretary of Education

Will Linda McMahon leaves Secretary of Education in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Education

Open

YES 28%

72% NO

8 months

24h Vol$7

:: Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service

Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service in before 2027? — :: Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service

Open

YES 59%

41% NO

8 months

24h Vol$7


:: Secretary of Defense Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Defense	8 months	$5.4K	YES 53% 47% NO
:: Director of the FBI Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027? — :: Director of the FBI	8 months	$3.9K	YES 57% 43% NO
:: White House Press Secretary Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027? — :: White House Press Secretary	8 months	$2.9K	YES 52% 48% NO
:: Director of National Intelligence Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027? — :: Director of National Intelligence	8 months	$1.7K	YES 55% 45% NO
:: Secretary of Commerce Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Commerce	8 months	$1.6K	YES 53% 47% NO
:: Secretary of State Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027? — :: Secretary of State	8 months	$496	YES 22% 78% NO
:: Chief of Staff Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027? — :: Chief of Staff	8 months	$315	YES 38% 62% NO
:: HHS Secretary Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027? — :: HHS Secretary	8 months	$260	YES 30% 70% NO
:: Secretary of Transportation Will Sean Duffy leaves Secretary of Transportation in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Transportation	8 months	$250	YES 26% 74% NO
:: Deputy Attorney General Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027? — :: Deputy Attorney General	8 months	$223	YES 53% 47% NO
:: Deputy Chief of Staff Will Stephen Miller leaves Deputy Chief of Staff in before 2027? — :: Deputy Chief of Staff	8 months	$178	YES 27% 73% NO
:: Secretary of Veterans Affairs Will Doug Collins leaves Secretary of Veterans Affairs in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Veterans Affairs	8 months	$166	YES 18% 82% NO
:: Secretary of Labor Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leaves Secretary of Labor in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Labor	8 months	$131	YES 76% 24% NO
:: EPA Administrator Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027? — :: EPA Administrator	8 months	$108	YES 45% 55% NO
:: CMS Administrator Will Mehmet Oz leaves CMS Administrator in before 2027? — :: CMS Administrator	8 months	$103	YES 21% 79% NO
:: SBA Administrator Will Kelly Loeffler leaves Administrator of the Small Business Administration in before 2027? — :: SBA Administrator	8 months	$69	YES 22% 78% NO
:: Secretary of the Treasury Will Scott Bessent leaves Secretary of the Treasury in before 2027? — :: Secretary of the Treasury	8 months	$53	YES 18% 82% NO
:: Special Envoy to the Middle East Will Steve Witkoff leaves Special Envoy to the Middle East in before 2027? — :: Special Envoy to the Middle East	8 months	$50	YES 38% 62% NO
:: OMB Director Will Russell Vought leaves OMB Director in before 2027? — :: OMB Director	8 months	$39	YES 21% 79% NO
:: White House Border Czar Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027? — :: White House Border Czar	8 months	$28	YES 19% 81% NO
:: Chairman of the FCC Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027? — :: Chairman of the FCC	8 months	$27	YES 22% 78% NO
:: FHFA Director Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027? — :: FHFA Director	8 months	$27	YES 31% 69% NO
:: Secretary of Agriculture Will Brooke Rollins leaves Secretary of Agriculture in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Agriculture	8 months	$24	YES 21% 79% NO
:: Secretary of Education Will Linda McMahon leaves Secretary of Education in before 2027? — :: Secretary of Education	8 months	$7	YES 28% 72% NO
:: Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service in before 2027? — :: Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service	8 months	$7	YES 59% 41% NO

Rows per page

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Markets 20Vol $8.4K8 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status