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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May? | Prediction Markets

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?

Scott Bessent: If Scott Bessent is the first person confirmed as Governor of the IMF before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·16 days

Politics

24h volume

$525

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 16 days

Politics

Congress

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General before May 1, 2026? — :: Surgeon General

YES 3%

97% NO

2.5%$1

#2Will Billy Long be confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before May 1, 2026? — :: Ambassador to Iceland

YES 35%

65% NO

35.0%$360

#3Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Governor of the IMF before May 1, 2026? — :: Governor of the IMF

YES 2%

98% NO

2.0%$0

:: Ambassador to Iceland

Will Billy Long be confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before May 1, 2026? — :: Ambassador to Iceland

Open

YES 35%

65% NO

16 days

24h Vol$360

:: BLM Director

Will Stevan Pearce be confirmed as BLM Director before May 1, 2026? — :: BLM Director

Open

YES 23%

77% NO

16 days

24h Vol$154

:: ATF Director

Will Robert Cekada be confirmed as ATF Director before May 1, 2026? — :: ATF Director

Open

YES 28%

72% NO

16 days

24h Vol$10

:: Surgeon General

Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General before May 1, 2026? — :: Surgeon General

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

16 days

24h Vol$1

:: FTC Commissioner

Will David MacNeil be confirmed as FTC Commissioner before May 1, 2026? — :: FTC Commissioner

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0

:: CISA Director

Will Sean Plankey be confirmed as CISA Director before May 1, 2026? — :: CISA Director

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0

:: Commissioner of Labor Statistics

Will Brett Matsumoto be confirmed as Commissioner of Labor Statistics before May 1, 2026? — :: Commissioner of Labor Statistics

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0

:: U.S. Attorney for EDVA

Will Lindsey Halligan be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for EDVA before May 1, 2026? — :: U.S. Attorney for EDVA

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0

:: U.S. Attorney for SDNY

Will Walter "Jay" Clayton be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for SDNY before May 1, 2026? — :: U.S. Attorney for SDNY

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0

:: Governor of the IMF

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Governor of the IMF before May 1, 2026? — :: Governor of the IMF

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

16 days

24h Vol$0


:: Ambassador to Iceland Will Billy Long be confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before May 1, 2026? — :: Ambassador to Iceland	16 days	$360	YES 35% 65% NO
:: BLM Director Will Stevan Pearce be confirmed as BLM Director before May 1, 2026? — :: BLM Director	16 days	$154	YES 23% 77% NO
:: ATF Director Will Robert Cekada be confirmed as ATF Director before May 1, 2026? — :: ATF Director	16 days	$10	YES 28% 72% NO
:: Surgeon General Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General before May 1, 2026? — :: Surgeon General	16 days	$1	YES 3% 97% NO
:: FTC Commissioner Will David MacNeil be confirmed as FTC Commissioner before May 1, 2026? — :: FTC Commissioner	16 days	$0	YES 4% 96% NO
:: CISA Director Will Sean Plankey be confirmed as CISA Director before May 1, 2026? — :: CISA Director	16 days	$0	YES 3% 97% NO
:: Commissioner of Labor Statistics Will Brett Matsumoto be confirmed as Commissioner of Labor Statistics before May 1, 2026? — :: Commissioner of Labor Statistics	16 days	$0	YES 3% 97% NO
:: U.S. Attorney for EDVA Will Lindsey Halligan be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for EDVA before May 1, 2026? — :: U.S. Attorney for EDVA	16 days	$0	YES 1% 99% NO
:: U.S. Attorney for SDNY Will Walter "Jay" Clayton be confirmed as U.S. Attorney for SDNY before May 1, 2026? — :: U.S. Attorney for SDNY	16 days	$0	YES 1% 99% NO
:: Governor of the IMF Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Governor of the IMF before May 1, 2026? — :: Governor of the IMF	16 days	$0	YES 2% 98% NO

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Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status