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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

Market radar

Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30? | Prediction Markets

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Open·2 months

Business Technology

24h volume

$1.8K

Markets

11

Liquidity

$63.8K

Resolution

Ends in 2 months

Business Technology

TechAIDeepSeekGrok

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

#2Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

#3Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?

#4Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

OpenAI

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 26%

74% NO

2 months

24h Vol$1.5K

xAI

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 13%

87% NO

2 months

24h Vol$212

Mistral

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

2 months

24h Vol$128

Nvidia

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

2 months

24h Vol$19

Meta

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

Alibaba

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

Anthropic

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Closed

YES 100%

0% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

DeepSeek

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

Baidu

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

Z.ai

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

2 months

24h Vol-

Meituan

Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

2 months

24h Vol-


OpenAI Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	$1.5K	YES 26% 74% NO
xAI Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	$212	YES 13% 87% NO
Mistral Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	$128	YES 4% 96% NO
Nvidia Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	$19	YES 5% 95% NO
Meta Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Alibaba Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 10% 90% NO
Anthropic Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 100% 0% NO
DeepSeek Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 9% 91% NO
Baidu Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 4% 96% NO
Z.ai Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 6% 94% NO
Meituan Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2 months	-	YES 3% 97% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Markets 15Vol $7378 months