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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? | Prediction Markets

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

5 to 9: If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 5 and 9 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·8 months

Politics

24h volume

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Politics

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Trump pardon between 25 and 49 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 25 to 49

YES 4%

96% NO

4.2%$0

#2Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 100 to 499

YES 27%

73% NO

26.5%$0

#3Will Trump pardon between 500 and 999 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 500 to 999

YES 27%

73% NO

26.5%$0

1000 or more

Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 1000 or more

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

8 months

24h Vol$2

50 to 99

Will Trump pardon between 50 and 99 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 50 to 99

Open

YES 17%

83% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1

0 to 4

Will Trump pardon between 0 and 4 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 0 to 4

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0

5 to 9

Will Trump pardon between 5 and 9 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 5 to 9

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0

10 to 14

Will Trump pardon between 10 and 14 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 10 to 14

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0

25 to 49

Will Trump pardon between 25 and 49 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 25 to 49

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

100 to 499

Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 100 to 499

Open

YES 27%

73% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

15 to 19

Will Trump pardon between 15 and 19 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 15 to 19

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0

500 to 999

Will Trump pardon between 500 and 999 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 500 to 999

Open

YES 27%

73% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

20 to 24

Will Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 20 to 24

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0


1000 or more Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 1000 or more	8 months	$2	YES 16% 84% NO
50 to 99 Will Trump pardon between 50 and 99 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 50 to 99	8 months	$1	YES 17% 83% NO
0 to 4 Will Trump pardon between 0 and 4 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 0 to 4	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO
5 to 9 Will Trump pardon between 5 and 9 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 5 to 9	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO
10 to 14 Will Trump pardon between 10 and 14 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 10 to 14	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO
25 to 49 Will Trump pardon between 25 and 49 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 25 to 49	8 months	$0	YES 4% 96% NO
100 to 499 Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 100 to 499	8 months	$0	YES 27% 73% NO
15 to 19 Will Trump pardon between 15 and 19 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 15 to 19	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO
500 to 999 Will Trump pardon between 500 and 999 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 500 to 999	8 months	$0	YES 27% 73% NO
20 to 24 Will Trump pardon between 20 and 24 people before Jan 1, 2027? — 20 to 24	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO

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Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status