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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

Market radar

Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Which banks will fail by end of 2026? | Prediction Markets

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Open·8 months

Economy Business

24h volume

$136

Markets

19

Liquidity

$74.1K

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Economy Business

Finance

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?

#2Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?

#3Will Truist fail by end of 2026?

#4Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?

Lloyds

Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 14%

86% NO

8 months

24h Vol$40

RBC

Will RBC fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

8 months

24h Vol$27

BNY

Will BNY fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

8 months

24h Vol$27

Bank of America

Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

8 months

24h Vol$26

KeyBank

Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 32%

68% NO

8 months

24h Vol$22

Truist

Will Truist fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 14%

86% NO

8 months

24h Vol$14

BMO

Will BMO fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1

BNP Paribas

Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Morgan Stanley

Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 12%

88% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

JPMorgan Chase

Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Wells Fargo

Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 12%

88% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Deutsche Bank

Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Santander

Will Santander fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

UBS

Will UBS fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Goldman Sachs

Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Scotiabank

Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

US Bank

Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 36%

64% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

Citigroup

Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 11%

89% NO

8 months

24h Vol-

HSBC

Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?

Open

YES 10%

90% NO

8 months

24h Vol-


Lloyds Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$40	YES 14% 86% NO
RBC Will RBC fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$27	YES 8% 92% NO
BNY Will BNY fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$27	YES 10% 90% NO
Bank of America Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$26	YES 8% 92% NO
KeyBank Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$22	YES 32% 68% NO
Truist Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$14	YES 14% 86% NO
BMO Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	8 months	$1	YES 9% 91% NO
BNP Paribas Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 8% 92% NO
Morgan Stanley Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 12% 88% NO
JPMorgan Chase Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Wells Fargo Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 12% 88% NO
Deutsche Bank Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 7% 93% NO
Santander Will Santander fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 10% 90% NO
UBS Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 10% 90% NO
Goldman Sachs Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 4% 96% NO
Scotiabank Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 8% 92% NO
US Bank Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 36% 64% NO
Citigroup Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 11% 89% NO
HSBC Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?	8 months	-	YES 10% 90% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

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