⌘K

Events

Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

Market radar

Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

What will be in the next reconciliation bill? | Prediction Markets

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year: If the next reconciliation bill to become law includes mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 1 year before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·8 months

Politics

24h volume

$1.6K

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Politics

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years

YES 26%

74% NO

25.5%$632

#2Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 1 year be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year

YES 25%

75% NO

25.0%$632

#3Will Mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years

YES 72%

28% NO

71.5%$369

Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year

Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 1 year be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year

Open

YES 25%

75% NO

8 months

24h Vol$632

Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years

Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years

Open

YES 26%

74% NO

8 months

24h Vol$632

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years

Will Mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years

Open

YES 72%

28% NO

8 months

24h Vol$369

Reduction in Medicaid spending

Will A reduction in Medicaid spending be in the next reconciliation bill? — Reduction in Medicaid spending

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1

Reducing EITC improper payments

Will A provision reducing improper payments in the Earned Income Tax Credit be in the next reconciliation bill? — Reducing EITC improper payments

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

State grants for election administration

Will New state grants related to election administration be in the next reconciliation bill? — State grants for election administration

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year

Will Mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 1 year be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year

Open

YES 72%

28% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0

Defense appropriations >$1 billion

Will Defense appropriations totaling more than $1 billion be in the next reconciliation bill? — Defense appropriations >$1 billion

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$0


Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 1 year be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year	8 months	$632	YES 25% 75% NO
Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years Will Mandatory funding for all of DHS lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years	8 months	$632	YES 26% 74% NO
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years Will Mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 3 years be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years	8 months	$369	YES 72% 28% NO
Reduction in Medicaid spending Will A reduction in Medicaid spending be in the next reconciliation bill? — Reduction in Medicaid spending	8 months	$1	YES 6% 94% NO
Reducing EITC improper payments Will A provision reducing improper payments in the Earned Income Tax Credit be in the next reconciliation bill? — Reducing EITC improper payments	8 months	$0	YES 6% 94% NO
State grants for election administration Will New state grants related to election administration be in the next reconciliation bill? — State grants for election administration	8 months	$0	YES 6% 94% NO
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year Will Mandatory funding for ICE or CBP lasting at least 1 year be in the next reconciliation bill? — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year	8 months	$0	YES 72% 28% NO
Defense appropriations >$1 billion Will Defense appropriations totaling more than $1 billion be in the next reconciliation bill? — Defense appropriations >$1 billion	8 months	$0	YES 6% 94% NO

Rows per page

Page 1 of 1

Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 17)

Markets 24Vol $7141 day

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status