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Live prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Who will have a #1 hit this year? | Prediction Markets

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

**Important information: For this event, the first eligible Billboard chart will be the chart dated January 10, 2026. Charts dated earlier will not be considered.

Open·8 months

Entertainment

24h volume

$2.1K

Markets

122

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 8 months

Entertainment

MusicMusic charts

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

YES 79%

21% NO

79.0%$632

#2Will Kanye West / Ye have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

YES 11%

89% NO

10.5%$114

#3Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

YES 84%

16% NO

84.0%$14

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 79%

21% NO

8 months

24h Vol$632

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Drake have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 72%

28% NO

8 months

24h Vol$297

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Zara Larsson have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 18%

82% NO

8 months

24h Vol$202

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 92%

8% NO

8 months

24h Vol$187

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Doechii have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

8 months

24h Vol$171

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Lil Uzi Vert have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$117

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Kanye West / Ye have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 11%

89% NO

8 months

24h Vol$114

By Dec 26, 2026

Will KATSEYE have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 12%

88% NO

8 months

24h Vol$95

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Ice Spice have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$59

By Dec 26, 2026

Will NF have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

8 months

24h Vol$47

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Lady Gaga have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 20%

80% NO

8 months

24h Vol$41

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Fall Out Boy have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 3%

97% NO

8 months

24h Vol$25

By Dec 26, 2026

Will J. Cole have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

8 months

24h Vol$25

By Dec 26, 2026

Will sombr have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 11%

89% NO

8 months

24h Vol$19

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 84%

16% NO

8 months

24h Vol$14

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Beyoncé have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 60%

40% NO

8 months

24h Vol$11

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Post Malone have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 44%

56% NO

8 months

24h Vol$10

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Charlie Puth have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

8 months

24h Vol$6

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Billie Eilish have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 32%

68% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Chris Brown have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 16%

84% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 7%

93% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Luke Combs have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 20%

80% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Swae Lee have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 9%

91% NO

8 months

24h Vol$2

By Dec 26, 2026

Will Pharrell Williams have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

8 months

24h Vol$1


By Dec 26, 2026 Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$632	YES 79% 21% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Drake have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$297	YES 72% 28% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Zara Larsson have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$202	YES 18% 82% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$187	YES 92% 8% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Doechii have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$171	YES 9% 91% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Lil Uzi Vert have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$117	YES 6% 94% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Kanye West / Ye have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$114	YES 11% 89% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will KATSEYE have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$95	YES 12% 88% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Ice Spice have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$59	YES 6% 94% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will NF have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$47	YES 6% 94% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Lady Gaga have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$41	YES 20% 80% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Fall Out Boy have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$25	YES 3% 97% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will J. Cole have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$25	YES 16% 84% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will sombr have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$19	YES 11% 89% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$14	YES 84% 16% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Beyoncé have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$11	YES 60% 40% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Post Malone have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$10	YES 44% 56% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Charlie Puth have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$6	YES 8% 92% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Billie Eilish have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$5	YES 32% 68% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Chris Brown have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$5	YES 16% 84% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$5	YES 7% 93% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Luke Combs have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$5	YES 20% 80% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Swae Lee have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$5	YES 9% 91% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$2	YES 9% 91% NO
By Dec 26, 2026 Will Pharrell Williams have a #1 hit this year? — By Dec 26, 2026	8 months	$1	YES 5% 95% NO

Rows per page

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Markets 28Vol $58 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status