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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory | Prediction Markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

Open·5 months

Politics Elections World

24h volume

$223

Markets

Liquidity

$94.8K

Resolution

Ends in 5 months

Politics Elections World

Global ElectionsBrazil

Top market pulse

4 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

YES 38%

62% NO

38.0%$18

#2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

YES 21%

79% NO

20.5%$20

#3Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

YES 19%

81% NO

19.0%$10

#4Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

YES 8%

92% NO

8.2%$60

Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

5 months

24h Vol$60

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Open

YES 21%

79% NO

5 months

24h Vol$20

Lula da Silva <5%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Open

YES 38%

62% NO

5 months

24h Vol$18

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?

Open

YES 6%

94% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Lula da Silva 10-15%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Open

YES 4%

96% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Lula da Silva 15%+

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

Open

YES 8%

92% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Tarcisio de Freitas Victory

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Open

YES 1%

99% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Ratinho Júnior Victory

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Open

YES 2%

98% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Renan Santos Victory

Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Other

Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Open

YES 5%

95% NO

5 months

24h Vol$16

Lula da Silva 5-10%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Open

YES 19%

81% NO

5 months

24h Vol$10


Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10% Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	5 months	$60	YES 8% 92% NO
Flávio Bolsonaro <5% Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	5 months	$20	YES 21% 79% NO
Lula da Silva <5% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	5 months	$18	YES 38% 62% NO
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+ Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	5 months	$16	YES 6% 94% NO
Lula da Silva 10-15% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	5 months	$16	YES 4% 96% NO
Lula da Silva 15%+ Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	5 months	$16	YES 8% 92% NO
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5 months	$16	YES 1% 99% NO
Ratinho Júnior Victory Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5 months	$16	YES 2% 98% NO
Renan Santos Victory Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5 months	$16	YES 5% 95% NO
Other Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5 months	$16	YES 5% 95% NO
Lula da Silva 5-10% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	5 months	$10	YES 19% 81% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

Markets 7Vol $017 months

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status