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Source	Title	Topics	End	Vol 24h	Liq	Listed	Mkts	Status

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? | Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Apr 1, 2026: If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Open·14 months

Politics

24h volume

$248.7K

Markets

Liquidity

Resolution

Ends in 14 months

Politics

Top market pulse

3 open markets · probability trend

Top markets · ranked by volume

#1Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 15, 2026? — Before Apr 15, 2026

YES 0%

100% NO

0.1%$47.0K

#2Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026? — Before May 1, 2026

YES 18%

82% NO

17.5%$118.4K

#3Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026? — Before Jun 1, 2026

YES 46%

54% NO

45.5%$23.0K

Before May 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026? — Before May 1, 2026

Open

YES 18%

82% NO

20 days

24h Vol$118.4K

Before Apr 15, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 15, 2026? — Before Apr 15, 2026

Open

YES 0%

100% NO

6 days

24h Vol$47.0K

Before May 15, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026? — Before May 15, 2026

Open

YES 30%

70% NO

1 month

24h Vol$33.7K

Before Jun 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026? — Before Jun 1, 2026

Open

YES 46%

54% NO

1 month

24h Vol$23.0K

Before Jul 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? — Before Jul 1, 2026

Open

YES 54%

46% NO

2 months

24h Vol$18.8K

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Open

YES 77%

23% NO

8 months

24h Vol$5.0K

Before Aug 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Open

YES 61%

39% NO

3 months

24h Vol$1.3K

Before Oct 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Open

YES 68%

32% NO

5 months

24h Vol$721

Before Sep 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Open

YES 65%

35% NO

4 months

24h Vol$552

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Open

YES 85%

15% NO

14 months

24h Vol$134

Before Apr 1, 2026

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2026? — Before Apr 1, 2026

Closed

YES 50%

50% NO

Ended

24h Vol$0

Before Apr 1, 2027

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Open

YES 80%

20% NO

11 months

24h Vol$0


Before May 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026? — Before May 1, 2026	20 days	$118.4K	YES 18% 82% NO
Before Apr 15, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 15, 2026? — Before Apr 15, 2026	6 days	$47.0K	YES 0% 100% NO
Before May 15, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026? — Before May 15, 2026	1 month	$33.7K	YES 30% 70% NO
Before Jun 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026? — Before Jun 1, 2026	1 month	$23.0K	YES 46% 54% NO
Before Jul 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? — Before Jul 1, 2026	2 months	$18.8K	YES 54% 46% NO
Before Jan 1, 2027 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027	8 months	$5.0K	YES 77% 23% NO
Before Aug 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026	3 months	$1.3K	YES 61% 39% NO
Before Oct 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026	5 months	$721	YES 68% 32% NO
Before Sep 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026	4 months	$552	YES 65% 35% NO
Before Jul 1, 2027 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027	14 months	$134	YES 85% 15% NO
Before Apr 1, 2026 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2026? — Before Apr 1, 2026	Ended	$0	YES 50% 50% NO
Before Apr 1, 2027 Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027	11 months	$0	YES 80% 20% NO

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Cross-Platform Matches

Same event on both platforms

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Markets 1Vol $78.8K1 month

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status

Title	End Date	Volume 24h	Outcomes	Status